Economy
From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.
The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.
Markets
From local market rents to cap rates, catch up on the latest capital markets insights.
Learn moreU.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS
Open Sesame? Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz Eases Oil Prices and Fed Nerves Alike
- Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully reopened to commercial traffic, triggering a sharp decline in oil and natural gas prices
- While energy markets are easing, the prior supply shock has already filtered into inflation data and will remain relevant for the Fed
- Last week’s CPI print and softer consumer spending data reinforced a stagflation-lite backdrop heading into the next FOMC meeting
Markets received long-awaited relief Friday morning after Iran announced that the Strait of Hormuz was “completely open” for commercial vessels—a development that immediately unwound some of the largest geopolitical risk premium embedded in global energy markets. The move marks an important de-escalation after nearly seven weeks of extraordinary volatility.
Historical CIP & Core CPI
2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey
In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.
2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll
In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.
Powell Holds Rates Steady, Trump Nominates Replacement Chair
Recent headlines surrounding the Federal Reserve have varied. On the monetary policy front, macroeconomic conditions appear solid, with tariff-driven inflation concerns largely overstated and unemployment holding steady. Away from economic fundamentals, Chair Powell continues to face political pressure as his term as Fed Chair nears its conclusion. The Federal Reserve held its first meeting of…
The State of the Union in Agency CMBS
Commercial real estate capital markets, particularly in the multifamily space, are taking the “new year, new me” mantra very seriously. Liquidity is bountiful in the space; trading spreads have tightened significantly; and a regime change is on the horizon at the Federal Reserve. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) increased agency multifamily loan purchase caps…
December FOMC Meeting Notes
The Federal Reserve held its final meeting of the year on Wednesday. Committee members voted 9-3 to cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.50%–3.75% range. The move was the third consecutive rate cut from the Fed, and overnight rates are now 175 basis points lower than their peak of the cycle.…