Economy

From interest rates to inflation, understand the impact of macroeconomic trends on the real estate capital markets.

The Beyond Insights series aims to deliver timely economic and market-driven insights to better inform your commercial real estate investment decisions.

Markets

From local market rents to cap rates, catch up on the latest capital markets insights.

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U.S. ECONOMIC MACRO COMMENTARY & INSIGHTS

March FOMC Meeting Recap – Oil Shock Ushers in Fed Pause

March 23, 2026
  • The FOMC held rates steady, signaling that further easing is contingent on renewed inflation progress
  • Updated Summary of Economic Projections showed higher near-term inflation expectations
  • Rising energy prices have re-elevated inflation risks, reinforcing the Fed’s pause

The Federal Open Market Committee held its March meeting on Wednesday, March 18, providing the market with forward guidance when it needed it most. Prior to the meeting, analysts were navigating a macroeconomic environment with both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate under pressure. Recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) prints showed lingering signs of upward price pressures caused by tariffs. 

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change in projected fed funds rate

Source: Bloomberg LP

2026 Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey

In December 2025, we surveyed over 250 of our trusted clients from various companies, with most holding senior-level titles, for our second annual Multifamily Investor Sentiment Survey. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive view of current market sentiments to our clients, and we plan to share our findings in our detailed report.

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2026 Multifamily
Powerhouse Poll

In Berkadia’s Annual Multifamily Powerhouse Poll, we surveyed over 200 investment sales advisors and mortgage bankers to offer their unique perspectives on the state of the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.

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Insights

December FOMC Meeting Notes

The Federal Reserve held its final meeting of the year on Wednesday. Committee members voted 9-3 to cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a 3.50%–3.75% range. The move was the third consecutive rate cut from the Fed, and overnight rates are now 175 basis points lower than their peak of the cycle.…

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Insights

Medicaid Joins the Shift: States Transition to PDPM Reimbursement Models 

Medicare transitions from RUG to PDPM:  In 2019, Medicare replaced the Resource Utilization Group (RUG-IV) system with the Patient-Driven Payment Model (PDPM), marking a major shift in how skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) are reimbursed. Under RUG-IV, payments were tied to therapy minutes, often incentivizing volume over patient needs.   PDPM introduced a case-mix classification model that links…

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Insights

FHFA Increases Multifamily Loan Purchase Caps and Continues to Focus on Mission-Driven Housing in 2026

Today, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced the 2026 multifamily loan purchase caps for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will increase to $88 billion each for a total of $176 billion, up from $146 billion this year. Both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae remain focused on mission-driven housing with an eye toward affordability, access,…

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